Surprise housing market
$399,900
median recorded sale in August
With 4.6 months of supply, Surprise is a balanced market right now: homes priced right still sell, and homes priced high sit. Type your address to see your range, free.
From Arizona county records · Veteran and first responder owned · No account needed
Bryce Henderson · real estate investor, veteran and paramedic · Newest figures: September 2026
Selling in Surprise right now
With 4.6 months of supply, Surprise is a balanced market right now: homes priced right still sell, and homes priced high sit.
- Under 4 months: leans toward sellers
- 4 to 6 months: balanced
- 6 or more: buyers have the upper hand
Each dot is one of Arizona's other 23 local markets with a page here, by months of supply.
The typical listing here has been on the market 61 days.
About 3 in 10 listings have cut their asking price.
Homes that sold went for about 98.9% of their asking price, and 12% sold above asking.
If you're thinking about selling, the report on your own home is the place to start. A call with our team can tell you what selling here would really leave you.
Listings, price cuts and days on market: Realtor.com, September 2026. Sale-to-list and above-asking: Redfin, September 2026.
What actually sold in Surprise
Half of the home sales recorded in Surprise for August 2026 were between $350,000 and $455,000.
Type your address to see your range, free.
- 18079 W Paradise LnSurprise Farms · 1,773 sq ft$250,000$141
- 15061 W Woodridge DrSun City Grand Desert Trails 1 · 1,278 sq ft$334,000$261
- 26832 N 173rd LnCortana At Desert Oasis · 1,618 sq ft$350,000$216
- 15310 N 162nd LnLegacy Parc · 1,617 sq ft · pool$375,000$232
- 16816 W Palisade Trail LnSun City Grand Coronado · 1,518 sq ft$390,000$257
- 27057 N 176th DrDesert Oasis At Surprise · 2,115 sq ft$409,900$194
- 14900 W Voltaire StMarley Park · 1,988 sq ft$435,000$219
- 16461 W Remuda DrDesert Oasis Of Surprise · 2,240 sq ft · pool$455,000$203
- 16746 W Cielo Grande AveAsante · 2,646 sq ft$500,000$189
- 31023 N 166th Dr2,298 sq ft$669,000$291
Prices and months as recorded with the Maricopa County Recorder, which gives the month of a sale, not the day. Homes only: no vacant lots, commercial units or one price paid for several parcels, and sales from $75,000 to $5,000,000.
More on Surprise
The numbers right now
- Homes sold per month, average of the last three monthsabout 21 more than a year ago, Redfin315
- Change on the typical home in 5 yearsZillow Home Value Index+$6,400
Months to sell every listing: Redfin, which divides the homes it counts as listed by its monthly sales. Homes for sale, price cuts and days on market: Realtor.com, added up across Surprise's ZIP codes (days on market is each ZIP's typical time, averaged by how many listings it has). Home values: Zillow Home Value Index. "A usual September" is the average for September in every earlier year of Realtor.com data.
ZIP codes in Surprise
Find your ZIP code. Fastest to sell: 85379, 85374 and 85378 at 56 days. Slowest: 85387 at 66 days.
| ZIP | Typical value | 12 months | For sale | vs. a usual September | Price cuts | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85387 | $451k | −$8,300 | 320 | +179 | 3 in 10 | 66 |
| 85388 | $444k | −$6,300 | 191 | +87 | 3 in 10 | 64 |
| 85379 | $419k | −$5,300 | 181 | +43 | 3 in 10 | 56 |
| 85374 | $382k | −$8,500 | 230 | +95 | 2 in 10 | 56 |
| 85378 | $330k | −$3,600 | 19 | −4 | 1 in 10 | 56 |
Each ZIP's typical value from Zillow; listings, price cuts and days on market from Realtor.com, September 2026. Price cuts and days on market are left out where fewer than 10 homes are for sale. Sorted from highest typical value to lowest.
Since you bought
The typical home's value at the end of each year since 2000. Find the year you bought to see what the typical home here has done since.
Each row: the typical value that December, then the change to today's typical value.
- 2005$310,629+$105,400
- 2010$147,953+$268,100
- 2015$218,867+$197,100
- 2020$326,209+$89,800
- 2022$458,358−$42,300
- 2025$422,688−$6,700
Each year is December's typical home value (the latest month for this year), Zillow Home Value Index, September 2026. The change is to today's typical value, not to any one home.
The owners here
- Properties owned by companiesabout 1 in 5 of all properties on record here15,820
From property records for 51,177 owner-occupied homes in Surprise's ZIP codes: county assessor records, with ownership, mortgage and sale details from a private property data company. The large number on each tile is to the nearest ten. A figure is shown only when at least 200 records support it and it is known for at least 6 in 10 owner-occupied homes here.
What's driving prices here
- Typical rent a monthabout $20 more than a year ago$1,942
Years of income compares Zillow's typical home value with the typical household income from Census Bureau estimates, and with the 2000 to 2019 average of the same comparison. Population: Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2020 to 2024 against 2015 to 2019. Moves: Census Bureau population estimates. Permits: Census Building Permits Survey. Rent: Zillow Observed Rent Index.
What a buyer pays here each month
Payment on the typical home value with a standard down payment, at the latest weekly average 30-year mortgage rate published by Freddie Mac (week of October 15, 2026). Property tax is the typical home value times a tax rate from Census Bureau figures: median taxes paid divided by median home value in Maricopa County. Insurance is the 2022 average premium from U.S. Treasury data, brought to today with the Bureau of Labor Statistics price index for homeowners insurance premiums.
Surprise housing market questions, answered
What is my home worth in Surprise?
Zillow puts the typical home in Surprise at $416,014, but your home's number depends on what homes like yours sold for. Type your address to see your range, free.
Are home prices dropping in Surprise?
Down. Zillow's typical home value in Surprise is $416,014, about $7,300 less than a year ago and about $6,400 more than five years ago (Zillow Home Value Index, September 2026).
How long are homes taking to sell in Surprise?
61 days is the typical time on the market in September 2026, and about 280 of the 941 homes for sale have cut their price (Realtor.com).
Is now a good time to sell in Surprise?
With 4.6 months of supply, Surprise is a balanced market right now: homes priced right still sell, and homes priced high sit.
Where in Surprise are home prices highest and lowest?
By Zillow's typical home value, ZIP 85387 is highest at $451,098 and ZIP 85378 is lowest at $329,961. The ZIP table above has every ZIP code here.
Where does Surprise rank among Arizona's housing markets?
By days on market, Surprise is 9th fastest of the 24 Arizona local markets with a page here, at 61 days. The fastest is Marana at 57 days and the slowest Payson & Gila County at 91 (Realtor.com, September 2026).
Who's behind it
Our founder, Bryce Henderson, is a real estate investor, veteran and paramedic. Our team talks with Arizona homeowners about every way to sell and what each one would leave them. More about him and HERO Real Estate Investors at herorei.com.
Sources: Zillow Research, Realtor.com Research, Redfin Data Center, Freddie Mac, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Treasury, county property and recorder records, and a private property data company. Figures refresh as each source publishes. How we compute every number.
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